← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Famiglietti 7.8% 8.0% 11.9% 13.5% 13.8% 13.9% 13.5% 10.6% 4.8% 2.2%
Charles Rees 36.7% 26.9% 18.5% 8.9% 6.2% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Lawless 8.9% 8.4% 11.8% 12.8% 17.5% 17.2% 10.7% 8.1% 3.7% 0.9%
Christopher Stocke 23.5% 25.9% 18.8% 16.0% 9.2% 4.2% 2.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
David Rogers 3.5% 3.7% 4.4% 8.3% 9.2% 10.6% 13.9% 17.3% 17.3% 11.8%
Jason D'Agostino 12.6% 15.4% 16.1% 17.0% 15.0% 10.8% 7.9% 3.2% 1.3% 0.7%
Edwin Strong 2.4% 4.5% 6.9% 8.0% 13.2% 13.9% 16.4% 15.5% 13.3% 5.9%
Maria Ayala 1.1% 1.8% 2.9% 4.1% 4.2% 8.4% 9.6% 14.0% 21.4% 32.5%
Cassie Todd 1.4% 1.1% 3.1% 3.9% 4.5% 6.0% 10.2% 13.3% 20.6% 35.9%
John Reddaway 2.1% 4.3% 5.6% 7.5% 7.2% 13.2% 14.9% 17.6% 17.5% 10.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.