Race 8A

saisa-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Famiglietti 6.9% 9.3% 11.6% 14.3% 13.5% 13.9% 12.4% 11.0% 5.1% 2.0%
Christopher Stocke 23.9% 24.4% 19.8% 15.8% 9.0% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Jason D'Agostino 12.4% 14.0% 14.3% 18.4% 16.6% 12.0% 7.1% 3.1% 1.8% 0.3%
David Rogers 2.1% 4.2% 5.0% 6.4% 7.7% 13.2% 15.7% 17.4% 16.8% 11.5%
Edwin Strong 4.5% 6.4% 5.5% 8.2% 11.4% 12.1% 16.5% 16.3% 12.6% 6.5%
Charles Rees 37.5% 26.0% 17.7% 11.6% 4.3% 1.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Lawless 6.9% 8.9% 14.4% 13.5% 16.9% 15.5% 11.5% 7.9% 3.5% 1.0%
Maria Ayala 1.2% 1.8% 3.0% 3.2% 5.8% 7.4% 9.1% 14.0% 22.1% 32.4%
John Reddaway 3.3% 3.3% 5.5% 6.2% 9.1% 12.5% 15.1% 17.8% 16.2% 11.0%
Cassie Todd 1.3% 1.7% 3.2% 2.4% 5.7% 7.0% 9.8% 11.7% 21.9% 35.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.