← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Charles Rees 38.4% 26.1% 16.7% 9.1% 5.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Edwin Strong 4.6% 5.5% 5.6% 7.2% 11.3% 14.0% 16.6% 14.3% 13.9% 7.0%
Christopher Stocke 23.1% 23.6% 20.3% 16.9% 8.8% 4.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
David Rogers 2.0% 4.3% 4.8% 6.3% 9.0% 13.1% 14.3% 18.9% 16.4% 10.9%
Jack Famiglietti 7.0% 10.3% 10.4% 11.2% 15.0% 15.3% 14.2% 9.7% 5.5% 1.4%
Jason D'Agostino 12.6% 14.2% 17.2% 17.8% 14.9% 10.6% 6.9% 4.1% 1.5% 0.2%
Daniel Lawless 6.9% 9.3% 13.1% 17.9% 15.6% 13.6% 11.1% 8.0% 3.8% 0.7%
John Reddaway 2.8% 3.3% 5.8% 7.7% 10.2% 10.7% 15.2% 15.6% 17.1% 11.6%
Maria Ayala 1.4% 1.7% 3.1% 2.8% 4.8% 7.0% 10.2% 15.2% 20.8% 33.0%
Cassie Todd 1.2% 1.7% 3.0% 3.1% 4.7% 8.6% 8.4% 13.2% 20.9% 35.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.