← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.89+1.31vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida3.49+0.88vs Predicted
-
3Clemson University1.66+3.32vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College2.80+0.01vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University1.38+1.68vs Predicted
-
6Rollins College0.70+1.94vs Predicted
-
7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68+1.12vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University2.38-3.22vs Predicted
-
9University of Florida2.20-3.83vs Predicted
-
11Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-4.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.31College of Charleston3.890.4%1st Place
-
2.88University of South Florida3.490.2%1st Place
-
6.32Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
-
4.01Eckerd College2.800.1%1st Place
-
6.68North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
-
7.94Rollins College0.700.0%1st Place
-
8.12University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
-
4.78Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
-
5.17University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
-
6.78Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Rees | 38.4% | 25.7% | 16.4% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Stocke | 24.0% | 24.0% | 20.3% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 11.2% | 7.6% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 10.4% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 19.5% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| David Rogers | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 18.3% | 9.6% |
| Maria Ayala | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 23.1% | 33.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 22.9% | 33.3% |
| Daniel Lawless | 6.8% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| John Reddaway | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.