Race 11A

saisa-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Charles Rees 38.8% 26.4% 16.3% 9.0% 5.1% 2.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Christopher Stocke 23.5% 24.4% 20.6% 15.2% 8.6% 4.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1%
Maria Ayala 1.5% 2.1% 2.9% 2.8% 4.3% 7.3% 8.4% 12.6% 24.4% 33.7%
Daniel Lawless 6.3% 10.4% 12.4% 14.7% 17.7% 15.1% 10.3% 8.0% 4.4% 0.7%
Edwin Strong 5.0% 4.5% 7.8% 7.7% 11.6% 11.8% 17.8% 14.8% 12.0% 7.0%
Jason D'Agostino 12.1% 16.0% 16.3% 17.3% 14.1% 11.3% 7.8% 3.1% 1.6% 0.4%
David Rogers 2.4% 2.8% 4.9% 7.2% 9.2% 14.1% 14.6% 17.8% 16.2% 10.8%
John Reddaway 3.0% 3.2% 5.9% 7.8% 10.5% 10.0% 14.7% 18.5% 16.5% 9.9%
Jack Famiglietti 6.0% 8.5% 10.5% 13.8% 15.2% 15.5% 13.1% 9.7% 6.1% 1.6%
Cassie Todd 1.4% 1.7% 2.4% 4.5% 3.7% 7.3% 9.7% 14.9% 18.6% 35.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.