Race 1B

saisa-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ryan Davidson 35.7% 26.0% 15.6% 10.8% 6.2% 3.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Ian Ikeda 10.4% 10.9% 15.0% 15.4% 15.7% 14.0% 11.2% 5.0% 2.2% 0.2%
Fernando Monllor 21.0% 18.8% 18.4% 17.1% 13.6% 5.9% 4.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Timothy Siemers 10.6% 15.8% 16.1% 16.1% 14.3% 12.2% 9.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.2%
Kailey Savacool 2.5% 3.6% 4.6% 5.3% 6.8% 8.3% 12.0% 21.7% 30.4% 4.8%
John Roberts 6.3% 6.9% 8.9% 8.6% 11.6% 15.5% 19.0% 14.3% 8.0% 0.9%
Marten Kendrick 3.1% 3.9% 6.8% 6.7% 10.1% 14.6% 18.6% 21.9% 12.3% 2.0%
Mark Thompson 1.8% 2.3% 2.9% 5.2% 5.9% 9.0% 11.4% 20.2% 36.3% 5.0%
Samuel Armington 8.4% 11.6% 11.4% 14.8% 15.2% 15.8% 11.3% 8.4% 3.0% 0.1%
Chance Sweat 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.6% 1.1% 1.6% 3.1% 6.1% 86.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.