← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Timothy Siemers 12.7% 15.1% 14.8% 16.0% 14.2% 12.4% 8.7% 4.4% 1.6% 0.1%
Ryan Davidson 34.6% 24.1% 18.2% 11.8% 6.8% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Kailey Savacool 2.0% 3.1% 3.4% 4.9% 7.8% 7.9% 13.1% 22.6% 30.1% 5.1%
Fernando Monllor 19.3% 22.3% 18.9% 16.0% 12.1% 6.8% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Samuel Armington 10.2% 9.7% 12.2% 14.5% 15.8% 14.5% 11.9% 8.3% 2.7% 0.2%
Ian Ikeda 10.4% 12.7% 14.2% 15.4% 15.4% 14.4% 10.6% 5.1% 1.6% 0.2%
Mark Thompson 1.4% 2.1% 2.6% 4.5% 5.3% 8.1% 13.7% 22.2% 34.3% 5.8%
John Roberts 5.3% 6.2% 9.3% 9.4% 12.3% 17.5% 19.1% 12.4% 7.8% 0.7%
Marten Kendrick 3.8% 4.5% 6.1% 7.4% 10.0% 14.0% 17.7% 20.0% 14.8% 1.7%
Chance Sweat 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 1.0% 1.3% 3.6% 6.7% 86.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.