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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.70+3.08vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.73+0.47vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04+4.19vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.24-0.80vs Predicted
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5University of Florida2.38-0.34vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.54-1.65vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.89-0.53vs Predicted
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9Clemson University1.88-3.40vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-3.71vs Predicted
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11Rollins College-1.41-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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2.47College of Charleston3.730.3%1st Place
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7.19University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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3.2University of South Florida3.240.2%1st Place
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4.66University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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4.35Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.47North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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5.6Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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6.29Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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9.7Rollins College-1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Siemers | 12.7% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Davidson | 34.6% | 24.1% | 18.2% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Savacool | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 22.6% | 30.1% | 5.1% |
| Fernando Monllor | 19.3% | 22.3% | 18.9% | 16.0% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 10.2% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Ian Ikeda | 10.4% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Mark Thompson | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 22.2% | 34.3% | 5.8% |
| John Roberts | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 19.1% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 0.7% |
| Marten Kendrick | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 20.0% | 14.8% | 1.7% |
| Chance Sweat | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 86.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.