Race 3B

saisa-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Timothy Siemers 13.6% 14.6% 16.2% 14.9% 14.0% 12.2% 8.0% 4.7% 1.7% 0.1%
Ryan Davidson 34.6% 24.1% 18.5% 12.7% 6.3% 2.3% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Armington 9.2% 10.0% 11.1% 12.7% 16.2% 16.2% 14.8% 7.3% 2.4% 0.1%
Fernando Monllor 19.1% 22.0% 19.6% 15.6% 13.5% 6.2% 2.3% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Marten Kendrick 4.4% 5.1% 5.6% 8.4% 9.4% 12.3% 17.8% 20.3% 14.6% 2.1%
John Roberts 6.3% 5.9% 7.7% 9.8% 12.3% 17.2% 16.1% 15.6% 8.5% 0.6%
Ian Ikeda 8.4% 13.2% 13.8% 16.1% 16.0% 14.5% 11.0% 5.5% 1.3% 0.2%
Mark Thompson 1.9% 2.1% 4.1% 4.3% 5.5% 8.5% 12.9% 20.4% 35.5% 4.8%
Kailey Savacool 2.3% 2.8% 3.0% 5.2% 6.4% 9.9% 14.0% 21.9% 28.9% 5.6%
Chance Sweat 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 1.7% 2.6% 7.0% 86.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.