Race 4B

saisa-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ryan Davidson 35.4% 27.0% 15.8% 9.8% 6.9% 2.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Fernando Monllor 19.8% 21.0% 21.3% 15.3% 10.6% 7.0% 3.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Samuel Armington 10.2% 8.6% 11.3% 13.3% 18.3% 12.9% 15.5% 7.4% 2.3% 0.2%
John Roberts 3.6% 6.6% 9.4% 10.5% 10.9% 18.9% 15.8% 15.2% 7.8% 1.3%
Kailey Savacool 3.0% 2.9% 5.0% 4.7% 5.8% 10.4% 12.1% 21.2% 30.7% 4.2%
Ian Ikeda 10.9% 12.7% 13.9% 14.8% 16.8% 12.8% 11.0% 4.7% 2.3% 0.1%
Mark Thompson 1.5% 1.8% 2.8% 4.7% 5.4% 8.5% 14.3% 20.1% 34.6% 6.3%
Marten Kendrick 3.7% 4.6% 6.5% 8.5% 10.1% 13.3% 15.5% 22.7% 13.3% 1.8%
Timothy Siemers 11.7% 14.6% 14.0% 18.1% 14.7% 12.4% 9.2% 4.0% 1.3% 0.0%
Chance Sweat 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 1.7% 2.9% 7.2% 86.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.