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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+4.16vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+5.47vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.93+4.12vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.63+4.19vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.50+3.52vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.74-1.41vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.77+4.27vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy4.09-1.55vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.43+3.48vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.67-2.13vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-2.29vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-5.05vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.51-4.22vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.90-3.00vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.29-2.23vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.30-6.53vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.55-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.2%1st Place
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7.47St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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7.12College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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8.19Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.52Boston College3.500.0%1st Place
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4.59Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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11.27Yale University2.770.0%1st Place
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6.45U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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12.48Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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7.87Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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6.95St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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11.0Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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12.77Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.47Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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16.2University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Thompson | 15.4% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Magill | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Perkins | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Emily Maxwell | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Chris Barnard | 15.8% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 3.4% |
| Clark Hayes | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Walker Banks | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 21.2% | 6.8% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 2.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 26.0% | 8.4% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Linda Codega | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 9.8% | 75.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.