Race 5B

saisa-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Fernando Monllor 21.4% 23.6% 17.6% 14.4% 9.7% 7.7% 3.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Ryan Davidson 34.2% 25.5% 18.6% 11.9% 5.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Siemers 12.3% 12.6% 15.7% 14.4% 17.9% 13.3% 8.8% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1%
John Roberts 4.0% 6.8% 8.2% 10.1% 13.4% 16.4% 16.1% 15.9% 7.6% 1.5%
Marten Kendrick 4.3% 5.5% 6.5% 7.5% 8.7% 12.1% 19.3% 20.1% 14.2% 1.8%
Ian Ikeda 11.3% 11.7% 13.5% 15.8% 16.2% 12.7% 11.9% 5.4% 1.4% 0.1%
Kailey Savacool 2.0% 1.6% 3.6% 5.4% 6.0% 10.0% 15.4% 23.3% 28.4% 4.3%
Mark Thompson 1.9% 1.9% 3.3% 4.8% 7.0% 7.9% 11.4% 19.6% 36.8% 5.4%
Samuel Armington 8.4% 10.6% 12.8% 15.7% 14.9% 16.0% 10.7% 7.6% 3.2% 0.1%
Chance Sweat 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.7% 1.0% 1.6% 2.3% 7.1% 86.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.