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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.73+1.36vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.70+1.94vs Predicted
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3University of Florida2.38+1.56vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.24-0.96vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.85+1.27vs Predicted
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7Clemson University1.88-1.53vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04-0.92vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-2.91vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.87-4.50vs Predicted
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11Rollins College-1.41-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36College of Charleston3.730.4%1st Place
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3.94Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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4.56University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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3.04University of South Florida3.240.2%1st Place
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7.27North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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5.47Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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7.08University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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6.09Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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5.5Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
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9.68Rollins College-1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Davidson | 37.7% | 26.5% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 12.2% | 14.4% | 18.3% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 10.0% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Fernando Monllor | 20.9% | 22.8% | 21.6% | 15.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kara Wheeler | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 34.5% | 6.8% |
| John Roberts | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 7.0% | 0.8% |
| Kailey Savacool | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 21.8% | 27.4% | 4.2% |
| Marten Kendrick | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 19.3% | 12.9% | 1.3% |
| Peter Hidley | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 1.2% |
| Chance Sweat | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 7.3% | 85.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.