← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ryan Davidson 37.7% 26.5% 14.8% 10.8% 6.1% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Timothy Siemers 12.2% 14.4% 18.3% 17.2% 14.3% 12.0% 7.1% 3.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Samuel Armington 10.0% 10.0% 13.5% 13.0% 17.8% 16.0% 11.5% 5.6% 2.4% 0.2%
Fernando Monllor 20.9% 22.8% 21.6% 15.5% 9.2% 6.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Kara Wheeler 2.2% 2.9% 4.0% 4.9% 6.9% 8.1% 11.5% 18.2% 34.5% 6.8%
John Roberts 6.2% 7.7% 8.2% 10.3% 14.6% 14.9% 16.2% 14.1% 7.0% 0.8%
Kailey Savacool 2.0% 1.9% 4.3% 6.3% 6.1% 10.9% 15.1% 21.8% 27.4% 4.2%
Marten Kendrick 3.6% 5.2% 6.8% 10.0% 10.8% 14.0% 16.1% 19.3% 12.9% 1.3%
Peter Hidley 5.0% 8.4% 8.1% 11.6% 14.1% 14.1% 17.4% 12.4% 7.7% 1.2%
Chance Sweat 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 1.2% 1.4% 3.3% 7.3% 85.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.