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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.73+1.31vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.70+1.96vs Predicted
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3University of Florida2.38+1.60vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+2.13vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.24-2.00vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04+0.98vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.87-1.44vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.88-2.55vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University0.85-1.66vs Predicted
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11Rollins College-1.41-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31College of Charleston3.730.4%1st Place
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3.96Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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4.6University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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6.13Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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3.0University of South Florida3.240.2%1st Place
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6.98University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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5.56Jacksonville University1.870.0%1st Place
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5.45Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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7.34North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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9.68Rollins College-1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Davidson | 38.9% | 26.3% | 15.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 12.4% | 14.0% | 18.4% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Armington | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Marten Kendrick | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 12.8% | 1.6% |
| Fernando Monllor | 22.3% | 23.2% | 20.1% | 15.9% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Savacool | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 21.4% | 27.3% | 5.1% |
| Peter Hidley | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 0.9% |
| John Roberts | 5.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 7.3% | 0.6% |
| Kara Wheeler | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 20.1% | 33.9% | 6.0% |
| Chance Sweat | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 7.3% | 85.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.