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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.54+3.40vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.73+0.46vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.24+0.23vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.70+0.10vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.89+2.28vs Predicted
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7University of Florida2.38-2.34vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.88-2.29vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04-1.84vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-3.71vs Predicted
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11Rollins College-1.41-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.4Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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2.46College of Charleston3.730.3%1st Place
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3.23University of South Florida3.240.2%1st Place
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4.1Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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7.28North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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4.66University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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5.71Clemson University1.880.0%1st Place
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7.16University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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6.29Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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9.7Rollins College-1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Ikeda | 11.4% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Davidson | 34.6% | 24.7% | 17.5% | 12.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Fernando Monllor | 20.4% | 20.7% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 10.9% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Mark Thompson | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 21.1% | 33.6% | 6.1% |
| Samuel Armington | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| John Roberts | 3.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 19.7% | 15.1% | 7.3% | 1.0% |
| Kailey Savacool | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 22.2% | 31.5% | 4.3% |
| Marten Kendrick | 4.5% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 17.4% | 21.3% | 13.9% | 1.7% |
| Chance Sweat | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 7.2% | 86.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.