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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ian Ikeda 11.4% 11.8% 14.9% 13.9% 15.9% 12.0% 11.4% 5.6% 2.9% 0.2%
Ryan Davidson 34.6% 24.7% 17.5% 12.6% 5.7% 3.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Fernando Monllor 20.4% 20.7% 17.8% 15.4% 13.2% 8.4% 3.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Timothy Siemers 10.9% 15.6% 15.5% 15.8% 15.2% 12.8% 9.0% 4.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Mark Thompson 2.5% 2.7% 4.4% 4.0% 6.1% 8.1% 11.4% 21.1% 33.6% 6.1%
Samuel Armington 10.0% 10.5% 11.8% 14.7% 15.0% 13.7% 14.0% 7.4% 2.6% 0.3%
John Roberts 3.7% 7.1% 8.4% 10.4% 11.8% 15.5% 19.7% 15.1% 7.3% 1.0%
Kailey Savacool 1.8% 3.4% 3.2% 5.8% 6.7% 10.4% 10.7% 22.2% 31.5% 4.3%
Marten Kendrick 4.5% 3.4% 6.3% 6.9% 10.3% 14.3% 17.4% 21.3% 13.9% 1.7%
Chance Sweat 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.1% 1.0% 2.0% 2.5% 7.2% 86.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.