Race 11B

saisa-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Fernando Monllor 21.5% 22.4% 19.4% 13.3% 10.4% 7.2% 3.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Geoffrey Nelson 11.8% 13.4% 17.2% 16.0% 15.2% 13.0% 7.7% 5.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Ian Ikeda 10.6% 11.2% 13.2% 13.6% 17.8% 15.9% 10.9% 4.2% 2.5% 0.1%
Ryan Davidson 33.8% 26.2% 18.3% 12.6% 4.8% 2.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Mark Thompson 2.3% 2.4% 4.2% 4.8% 5.9% 8.1% 12.2% 18.4% 35.4% 6.3%
Samuel Armington 9.2% 10.8% 10.5% 15.5% 16.2% 13.1% 14.1% 7.5% 3.0% 0.1%
Kailey Savacool 2.0% 2.2% 2.9% 4.9% 6.4% 10.5% 14.0% 23.4% 29.2% 4.5%
Marten Kendrick 3.4% 5.3% 5.5% 8.7% 10.4% 12.5% 17.3% 22.0% 13.5% 1.4%
John Roberts 5.2% 5.8% 8.6% 10.6% 12.4% 15.7% 18.1% 14.2% 8.2% 1.2%
Chance Sweat 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 3.1% 7.1% 86.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.