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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+0.55vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.76+1.13vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.82+1.29vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01+1.21vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-1.90vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.32-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55Boston University3.420.6%1st Place
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3.13Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
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4.29University of Rhode Island0.820.1%1st Place
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5.21University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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3.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.1%1st Place
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3.74Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 62.1% | 25.5% | 9.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 12.5% | 23.6% | 24.9% | 21.7% | 12.3% | 5.0% |
| Benton Croop | 5.3% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 20.2% | 31.0% | 21.8% |
| Kelsey Martins | 1.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 19.1% | 60.1% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 12.4% | 23.6% | 25.4% | 22.7% | 12.3% | 3.6% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 6.2% | 14.8% | 21.4% | 23.6% | 24.6% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.