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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.51+7.56vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+6.56vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+4.18vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+3.83vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.74-0.47vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67+2.39vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.63+1.33vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.29+4.67vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.50+0.06vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.93-2.82vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.90+0.09vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.77-0.61vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-7.42vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy4.09-7.21vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University4.01-7.98vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.43-3.39vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.55-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.56University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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7.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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7.83St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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4.53Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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8.39Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.33Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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12.67Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.06Boston College3.500.0%1st Place
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7.18College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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11.09Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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11.39Yale University2.770.0%1st Place
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5.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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6.79U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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7.02Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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12.61Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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16.23University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Factor | 5.8% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Megan Magill | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Chris Barnard | 17.2% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Perkins | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 16.5% | 25.4% | 8.5% |
| Emily Maxwell | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 2.7% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 3.5% |
| David Thompson | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Hayes | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Walker Banks | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 21.1% | 7.9% |
| Linda Codega | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 10.4% | 75.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.