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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+0.55vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.32+1.69vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.82+1.29vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.76-0.85vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-1.89vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55Boston University3.420.6%1st Place
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3.69Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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4.29University of Rhode Island0.820.1%1st Place
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3.15Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
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3.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.1%1st Place
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5.21University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 61.0% | 27.6% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 6.8% | 14.8% | 23.1% | 23.5% | 21.5% | 10.3% |
| Benton Croop | 5.8% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 18.1% | 33.4% | 21.2% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 12.1% | 21.0% | 27.3% | 22.5% | 14.0% | 3.1% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 12.4% | 25.1% | 22.7% | 23.0% | 12.1% | 4.7% |
| Kelsey Martins | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 18.2% | 60.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.