← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+4.29vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.93+5.17vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+4.12vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+4.79vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College2.43+7.33vs Predicted
-
6Washington College2.29+7.10vs Predicted
-
7Yale University2.77+4.41vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University4.01-1.09vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont3.51-0.02vs Predicted
-
10Boston University3.63-1.79vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-3.10vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University3.67-3.77vs Predicted
-
13Georgetown University4.74-8.29vs Predicted
-
14Boston College3.50-5.03vs Predicted
-
15Stanford University2.90-4.01vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy4.09-9.34vs Predicted
-
17University of Virginia0.55-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
-
7.17College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
-
7.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
-
8.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
-
12.33Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
-
13.1Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
-
11.41Yale University2.770.0%1st Place
-
6.91Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
-
8.98University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
-
8.21Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
-
7.9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
-
8.23Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
4.71Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
-
8.97Boston College3.500.0%1st Place
-
10.99Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
-
6.66U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
-
16.22University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Thompson | 14.8% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Walker Banks | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 20.8% | 6.9% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 17.2% | 25.8% | 10.2% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 3.7% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Daniel Perkins | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Megan Magill | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Chris Barnard | 16.0% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Maxwell | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 2.7% |
| Clark Hayes | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Linda Codega | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 11.8% | 74.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.