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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.48+3.91vs Predicted
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2University of Pittsburgh0.28+1.90vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.72+0.25vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute2.29-2.39vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University0.75-1.71vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania-0.58-0.90vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.37-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91Rochester Institute of Technology-0.480.0%1st Place
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3.9University of Pittsburgh0.280.1%1st Place
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3.25Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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1.61Webb Institute2.290.6%1st Place
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3.29Rutgers University0.750.1%1st Place
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5.1University of Pennsylvania-0.580.0%1st Place
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5.94Princeton University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cynthia Stetson | 4.4% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 22.5% | 23.8% | 19.1% |
| Christopher Cunningham | 7.2% | 14.4% | 18.9% | 21.4% | 20.9% | 12.9% | 4.3% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 12.9% | 22.2% | 21.1% | 23.6% | 12.9% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Cody Stansky | 59.3% | 25.1% | 12.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Williams | 11.4% | 23.4% | 23.3% | 19.6% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 1.6% |
| Steven Ho | 3.0% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 19.8% | 28.6% | 20.9% |
| Henry Pease | 1.8% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 20.9% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.