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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania-0.58+4.25vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.72+1.44vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute2.29-1.40vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University0.75-0.57vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.48+0.24vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh0.28-1.88vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.33-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25University of Pennsylvania-0.580.0%1st Place
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3.44Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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1.6Webb Institute2.290.6%1st Place
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3.43Rutgers University0.750.1%1st Place
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5.24Rochester Institute of Technology-0.480.0%1st Place
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4.12University of Pittsburgh0.280.1%1st Place
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4.92Princeton University-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Ho | 3.8% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 23.2% | 32.4% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 11.6% | 19.2% | 23.7% | 20.0% | 13.9% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Cody Stansky | 60.2% | 25.3% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Williams | 10.9% | 20.3% | 21.9% | 22.0% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 2.6% |
| Cynthia Stetson | 2.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 17.7% | 23.3% | 29.4% |
| Christopher Cunningham | 6.3% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 19.0% | 18.8% | 15.5% | 9.1% |
| Thomas Fair | 4.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 20.5% | 21.7% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.