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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania0.02+1.05vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-0.33+0.34vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University-0.35-0.63vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-2.49+0.62vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-2.09-0.69vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute-3.23-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05University of Pennsylvania0.020.4%1st Place
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2.34Drexel University-0.330.3%1st Place
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2.37Rutgers University-0.350.3%1st Place
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4.62Rochester Institute of Technology-2.490.0%1st Place
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4.31University of Pittsburgh-2.090.0%1st Place
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5.32Webb Institute-3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthias Chia | 37.2% | 32.0% | 21.8% | 7.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Robert Stricek | 29.2% | 26.0% | 30.4% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Mary Morgan | 27.0% | 27.5% | 30.1% | 12.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Tucker Nelson | 2.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 24.4% | 37.6% | 24.1% |
| Steven Cefalu | 3.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 34.4% | 30.3% | 16.4% |
| Alexandra Heitman | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 10.4% | 25.4% | 58.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.