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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rutgers University-0.35+1.45vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania0.02-0.01vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.33-0.66vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-2.49+0.61vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-2.09-0.71vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute-3.23-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Rutgers University-0.350.2%1st Place
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1.99University of Pennsylvania0.020.4%1st Place
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2.34Drexel University-0.330.3%1st Place
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4.61Rochester Institute of Technology-2.490.0%1st Place
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4.29University of Pittsburgh-2.090.0%1st Place
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5.32Webb Institute-3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Morgan | 24.6% | 28.0% | 30.3% | 13.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Matthias Chia | 41.7% | 27.7% | 22.5% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Robert Stricek | 26.9% | 29.4% | 29.4% | 11.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Tucker Nelson | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 24.0% | 38.2% | 23.9% |
| Steven Cefalu | 3.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 33.8% | 30.1% | 16.4% |
| Alexandra Heitman | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 11.0% | 24.9% | 58.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.