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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.19+0.18vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University-0.35+0.74vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.33-0.32vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute-3.23+1.30vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-2.49-0.25vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.09-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.18University of Pennsylvania2.190.9%1st Place
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2.74Rutgers University-0.350.1%1st Place
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2.68Drexel University-0.330.1%1st Place
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5.3Webb Institute-3.230.0%1st Place
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4.75Rochester Institute of Technology-2.490.0%1st Place
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4.35University of Pittsburgh-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Cartwright | 85.2% | 12.0% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Morgan | 5.2% | 39.5% | 35.9% | 15.2% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Robert Stricek | 7.7% | 37.4% | 37.5% | 14.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Alexandra Heitman | 0.1% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 12.8% | 23.0% | 57.9% |
| Tucker Nelson | 0.7% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 21.9% | 38.5% | 27.4% |
| Steven Cefalu | 1.1% | 4.8% | 12.4% | 35.7% | 32.1% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.