← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Berkeley-0.84+12.13vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Los Angeles-1.85+16.93vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+0.96vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara1.50-0.39vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego0.42+2.04vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+2.41vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.91+6.45vs Predicted
-
8Arizona State University-1.60+10.51vs Predicted
-
9Arizona State University-0.62+3.21vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Cruz0.24-1.06vs Predicted
-
11San Diego State University-0.91+3.12vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Irvine-0.88+1.80vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Los Angeles-0.45-1.79vs Predicted
-
14California State University Channel Islands-1.98+5.89vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Berkeley-0.99-0.54vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Barbara-0.49-4.73vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Irvine-1.36-0.12vs Predicted
-
18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86-4.39vs Predicted
-
19Arizona State University-1.09-4.06vs Predicted
-
20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.78-1.66vs Predicted
-
21University of California at San Diego-1.25-4.38vs Predicted
-
22University of California at San Diego-1.47-4.92vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Davis-2.15-2.12vs Predicted
-
24University of California at Los Angeles-1.98-4.44vs Predicted
-
25University of Southern California-0.12-15.49vs Predicted
-
26University of California at Davis-2.46-4.50vs Predicted
-
27San Diego State University-1.24-10.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
13.13University of California at Berkeley-0.842.5%1st Place
-
18.93University of California at Los Angeles-1.850.8%1st Place
-
3.96University of California at Santa Cruz1.4520.2%1st Place
-
3.61University of California at Santa Barbara1.5022.1%1st Place
-
7.04University of California at San Diego0.427.6%1st Place
-
8.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.836.5%1st Place
-
13.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.911.8%1st Place
-
18.51Arizona State University-1.600.7%1st Place
-
12.21Arizona State University-0.622.9%1st Place
-
8.94University of California at Santa Cruz0.245.7%1st Place
-
14.12San Diego State University-0.911.9%1st Place
-
13.8University of California at Irvine-0.881.7%1st Place
-
11.21University of California at Los Angeles-0.452.7%1st Place
-
19.89California State University Channel Islands-1.980.9%1st Place
-
14.46University of California at Berkeley-0.992.2%1st Place
-
11.27University of California at Santa Barbara-0.493.0%1st Place
-
16.88University of California at Irvine-1.361.0%1st Place
-
13.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.862.6%1st Place
-
14.94Arizona State University-1.092.1%1st Place
-
18.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.780.9%1st Place
-
16.62University of California at San Diego-1.250.9%1st Place
-
17.08University of California at San Diego-1.471.4%1st Place
-
20.88University of California at Davis-2.150.7%1st Place
-
19.56University of California at Los Angeles-1.980.4%1st Place
-
9.51University of Southern California-0.125.2%1st Place
-
21.5University of California at Davis-2.460.4%1st Place
-
16.14San Diego State University-1.241.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bianca Weber | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Luke Graham | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% |
| Buster Baylis | 20.2% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Skerrett | 22.1% | 20.1% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Wiley | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Erin Welker | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% |
| Gavin Hirz | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Alcala | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Phineas Fritsch | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 11.2% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Noa Brassfield | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Camden Wacha | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Pike Williams | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% |
| Adem Evecek | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Nate Powers | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 18.1% |
| Kevin Lu | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% |
| Lara Granucci | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan Meyer | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 24.5% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.