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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.52+4.35vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.62+6.78vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.98+4.33vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.06+2.95vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.70+7.83vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+2.60vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.92+0.54vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.49+1.49vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.70-0.77vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut2.51+3.20vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.89-3.42vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.81+3.90vs Predicted
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13University of Florida2.84-1.26vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.69+1.97vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy2.81-3.08vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.62-7.45vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.02-5.82vs Predicted
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19Boston University2.90-7.40vs Predicted
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20Boston College3.88-12.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Vermont3.620.1%1st Place
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7.33Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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6.95Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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12.83Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
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8.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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7.54Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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9.49University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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8.23Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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13.2University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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7.58Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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15.9University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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11.74University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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15.97University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
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11.92Maine Maritime Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.55University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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11.18Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
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11.6Boston University2.900.0%1st Place
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7.27Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Palmer | 12.3% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% |
| Colin Smith | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Williams | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Billy Rohman | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 6.4% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Sean Andrew | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 8.9% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Neal Drake | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 20.0% | 32.4% |
| Max Famiglietti | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| William Pilling | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 19.5% | 33.6% |
| Christopher Poole | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 5.1% |
| Matthew Carmody | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Wells Bacon | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Tripp Cashel | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Alex Cook | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.