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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rutgers University-0.35+1.43vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania0.02-0.02vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.33-0.65vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-2.09+0.23vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-3.23+0.34vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-2.49-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Rutgers University-0.350.2%1st Place
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1.98University of Pennsylvania0.020.4%1st Place
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2.35Drexel University-0.330.3%1st Place
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4.23University of Pittsburgh-2.090.0%1st Place
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5.34Webb Institute-3.230.0%1st Place
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4.67Rochester Institute of Technology-2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Morgan | 24.9% | 28.0% | 30.9% | 12.0% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Matthias Chia | 42.0% | 28.4% | 20.3% | 8.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Stricek | 26.3% | 30.3% | 29.4% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Steven Cefalu | 4.1% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 33.2% | 32.6% | 13.2% |
| Alexandra Heitman | 0.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 10.9% | 21.5% | 61.2% |
| Tucker Nelson | 2.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 25.6% | 37.3% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.