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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.18+1.84vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.01-0.07vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.71+0.38vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.29+0.59vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.16-3.05vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota-1.01-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84University of Minnesota1.180.2%1st Place
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1.93University of Minnesota2.010.5%1st Place
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3.38Northwestern University0.710.1%1st Place
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4.59Northwestern University-0.290.0%1st Place
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2.95Northwestern University1.160.2%1st Place
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5.31University of Minnesota-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Hamilton | 18.2% | 26.6% | 22.8% | 20.7% | 8.8% | 2.9% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 46.9% | 24.4% | 19.8% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Herron | 11.6% | 16.7% | 21.6% | 26.8% | 18.5% | 4.8% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 3.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 17.1% | 37.4% | 26.9% |
| Travis Cottle | 17.7% | 23.6% | 23.0% | 20.8% | 11.5% | 3.4% |
| John O'Leary | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 21.8% | 61.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.