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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.01+0.95vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.18+0.80vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.16-1.15vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.29-0.45vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.71-4.47vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota-1.01-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95University of Minnesota2.010.4%1st Place
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2.8University of Minnesota1.180.2%1st Place
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2.85Northwestern University1.160.2%1st Place
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4.55Northwestern University-0.290.0%1st Place
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3.53Northwestern University0.710.1%1st Place
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5.32University of Minnesota-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Oltrogge | 44.4% | 30.2% | 15.1% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 20.9% | 23.7% | 24.3% | 18.4% | 10.7% | 2.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 18.7% | 22.3% | 26.3% | 22.2% | 9.0% | 1.5% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 18.3% | 36.9% | 25.8% |
| Zachary Herron | 10.5% | 14.7% | 21.4% | 25.9% | 19.6% | 7.9% |
| John O'Leary | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 21.6% | 62.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.