← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Minnesota2.01+0.75vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University1.16+0.51vs Predicted
-
3University of Minnesota1.18-0.51vs Predicted
-
6University of Minnesota-1.01-1.33vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University-0.29-2.91vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University-1.96-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.75University of Minnesota2.010.5%1st Place
-
2.51Northwestern University1.160.2%1st Place
-
2.49University of Minnesota1.180.2%1st Place
-
4.67University of Minnesota-1.010.0%1st Place
-
4.09Northwestern University-0.290.0%1st Place
-
5.5Northwestern University-1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Oltrogge | 50.0% | 30.4% | 14.6% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 23.0% | 26.0% | 32.9% | 13.8% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 21.4% | 28.6% | 32.4% | 15.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| John O'Leary | 1.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 22.5% | 44.2% | 21.3% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 3.5% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 36.8% | 28.7% | 9.9% |
| Hans Mueller-Schrader | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 7.6% | 20.1% | 68.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.