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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.18+1.54vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.01-0.27vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.16-0.50vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.29-1.01vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-1.01-2.25vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.96-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54University of Minnesota1.180.2%1st Place
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1.73University of Minnesota2.010.5%1st Place
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2.5Northwestern University1.160.2%1st Place
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3.99Northwestern University-0.290.0%1st Place
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4.75University of Minnesota-1.010.0%1st Place
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5.48Northwestern University-1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Hamilton | 20.4% | 28.0% | 32.9% | 14.8% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 52.1% | 27.7% | 15.6% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 20.9% | 30.3% | 30.7% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 4.5% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 39.3% | 28.6% | 6.7% |
| John O'Leary | 1.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 19.9% | 41.9% | 26.1% |
| Hans Mueller-Schrader | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 7.1% | 22.9% | 66.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.