← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Minnesota2.01+0.96vs Predicted
-
2University of Minnesota1.18+0.79vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University0.71-1.60vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University-0.29-1.42vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University1.16-4.04vs Predicted
-
8University of Minnesota-1.01-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.96University of Minnesota2.010.4%1st Place
-
2.79University of Minnesota1.180.2%1st Place
-
3.4Northwestern University0.710.1%1st Place
-
4.58Northwestern University-0.290.0%1st Place
-
2.96Northwestern University1.160.2%1st Place
-
5.31University of Minnesota-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Oltrogge | 44.4% | 28.8% | 16.5% | 7.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 21.1% | 24.2% | 23.0% | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.9% |
| Zachary Herron | 11.4% | 16.3% | 21.5% | 27.8% | 18.1% | 4.9% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 3.5% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 17.2% | 37.3% | 26.6% |
| Travis Cottle | 18.0% | 22.1% | 24.6% | 20.0% | 11.8% | 3.5% |
| John O'Leary | 1.6% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 20.8% | 62.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.