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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.01+0.95vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.18+0.84vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.16-0.13vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.29-1.42vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-1.01-1.68vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.71-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95University of Minnesota2.010.4%1st Place
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2.84University of Minnesota1.180.2%1st Place
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2.87Northwestern University1.160.2%1st Place
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4.58Northwestern University-0.290.0%1st Place
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5.32University of Minnesota-1.010.0%1st Place
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3.44Northwestern University0.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Oltrogge | 43.6% | 31.0% | 15.8% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 20.8% | 22.2% | 24.4% | 20.3% | 9.5% | 2.8% |
| Travis Cottle | 18.9% | 21.7% | 25.7% | 23.2% | 8.5% | 2.0% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 3.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 17.8% | 37.1% | 26.9% |
| John O'Leary | 1.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 20.7% | 63.5% |
| Zachary Herron | 11.6% | 15.1% | 21.4% | 26.0% | 21.5% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.