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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.16+1.88vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.01-0.08vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.18-0.19vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.29-0.45vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.71-2.48vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota-1.01-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Northwestern University1.160.2%1st Place
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1.92University of Minnesota2.010.5%1st Place
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2.81University of Minnesota1.180.2%1st Place
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4.55Northwestern University-0.290.0%1st Place
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3.52Northwestern University0.710.1%1st Place
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5.32University of Minnesota-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Cottle | 17.7% | 25.0% | 24.0% | 20.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 47.4% | 25.0% | 18.6% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 18.8% | 24.7% | 24.4% | 22.0% | 8.6% | 1.5% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 17.9% | 36.9% | 26.0% |
| Zachary Herron | 10.3% | 16.2% | 20.8% | 24.8% | 19.9% | 8.0% |
| John O'Leary | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 8.1% | 22.3% | 61.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.