← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Minnesota2.01+0.97vs Predicted
-
2University of Minnesota1.18+0.82vs Predicted
-
3Northwestern University0.71+0.40vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University1.16-1.16vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University-0.29-2.35vs Predicted
-
9University of Minnesota-1.01-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.97University of Minnesota2.010.4%1st Place
-
2.82University of Minnesota1.180.2%1st Place
-
3.4Northwestern University0.710.1%1st Place
-
2.84Northwestern University1.160.2%1st Place
-
4.65Northwestern University-0.290.0%1st Place
-
5.33University of Minnesota-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Oltrogge | 43.6% | 29.9% | 15.8% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 19.4% | 24.7% | 24.7% | 19.2% | 9.8% | 2.2% |
| Zachary Herron | 12.0% | 16.6% | 19.0% | 29.1% | 18.7% | 4.6% |
| Travis Cottle | 19.7% | 21.3% | 27.1% | 21.1% | 8.9% | 1.9% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 38.0% | 29.0% |
| John O'Leary | 1.6% | 1.7% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 22.4% | 61.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.