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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.13+0.49vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.08+0.36vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.77-1.37vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.23-1.79vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.88-2.64vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota-4.57-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.49University of Minnesota2.130.6%1st Place
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3.36University of Minnesota0.080.1%1st Place
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2.63Northwestern University0.770.2%1st Place
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3.21Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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4.36Northwestern University-0.880.0%1st Place
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5.96University of Minnesota-4.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Kent | 63.7% | 26.1% | 8.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Valverde | 7.1% | 18.7% | 24.6% | 30.8% | 18.5% | 0.3% |
| Ben Breuner | 17.1% | 31.1% | 28.6% | 18.3% | 4.8% | 0.1% |
| Susan Riley | 10.0% | 17.7% | 27.9% | 30.5% | 13.7% | 0.2% |
| Jennie Werner | 2.1% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 18.4% | 60.8% | 2.2% |
| Alec Englander | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.9% | 97.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.