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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.13+0.52vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.77-0.37vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.08-0.67vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.23-1.80vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.88-1.63vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota-4.57-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.52University of Minnesota2.130.6%1st Place
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2.63Northwestern University0.770.2%1st Place
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3.33University of Minnesota0.080.1%1st Place
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3.2Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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4.37Northwestern University-0.880.0%1st Place
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5.96University of Minnesota-4.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Kent | 62.4% | 25.7% | 9.6% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Breuner | 17.3% | 31.9% | 27.8% | 16.6% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Valverde | 8.8% | 16.6% | 25.3% | 31.7% | 17.4% | 0.2% |
| Susan Riley | 9.2% | 19.2% | 27.7% | 30.3% | 13.4% | 0.2% |
| Jennie Werner | 2.3% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 18.7% | 61.1% | 2.2% |
| Alec Englander | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 97.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.