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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.13+0.50vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.23+1.19vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.77-0.36vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota0.08-2.64vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.88-3.64vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota-4.57-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.5University of Minnesota2.130.6%1st Place
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3.19Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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2.64Northwestern University0.770.2%1st Place
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3.36University of Minnesota0.080.1%1st Place
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4.36Northwestern University-0.880.0%1st Place
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5.95University of Minnesota-4.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Kent | 64.0% | 24.6% | 9.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Susan Riley | 8.5% | 22.5% | 25.4% | 28.5% | 14.9% | 0.2% |
| Ben Breuner | 17.0% | 30.1% | 29.7% | 18.8% | 4.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Valverde | 8.4% | 16.2% | 25.1% | 32.0% | 18.0% | 0.3% |
| Jennie Werner | 2.1% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 18.2% | 60.8% | 2.2% |
| Alec Englander | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 97.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.