← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Minnesota2.13+0.50vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University0.77+0.53vs Predicted
-
3Northwestern University0.23+0.04vs Predicted
-
4University of Minnesota0.08-0.78vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University-1.96-3.19vs Predicted
-
9University of Minnesota-4.57-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.5University of Minnesota2.130.6%1st Place
-
2.53Northwestern University0.770.2%1st Place
-
3.04Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
-
3.22University of Minnesota0.080.1%1st Place
-
4.81Northwestern University-1.960.0%1st Place
-
5.91University of Minnesota-4.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Kent | 63.2% | 25.7% | 9.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Breuner | 17.4% | 34.2% | 29.3% | 16.7% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Susan Riley | 10.7% | 20.0% | 29.6% | 34.0% | 5.6% | 0.1% |
| Michael Valverde | 8.0% | 17.1% | 27.6% | 39.3% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Mueller-Schrader | 0.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 78.3% | 6.8% |
| Alec Englander | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 5.7% | 93.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.