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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.23+2.21vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.13-1.48vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.77-1.40vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota0.08-2.65vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.88-3.63vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota-4.57-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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1.52University of Minnesota2.130.6%1st Place
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2.6Northwestern University0.770.2%1st Place
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3.35University of Minnesota0.080.1%1st Place
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4.37Northwestern University-0.880.0%1st Place
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5.96University of Minnesota-4.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susan Riley | 9.7% | 18.9% | 28.2% | 27.3% | 15.7% | 0.2% |
| Alison Kent | 63.0% | 25.1% | 9.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Breuner | 17.7% | 31.8% | 27.9% | 18.3% | 4.2% | 0.1% |
| Michael Valverde | 7.5% | 17.9% | 24.4% | 32.6% | 17.3% | 0.3% |
| Jennie Werner | 2.1% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 18.8% | 61.0% | 2.1% |
| Alec Englander | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 97.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.