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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.13+0.67vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.27-0.62vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.77-2.11vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota0.08-2.39vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.88-3.50vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota-4.57-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.67University of Minnesota2.130.5%1st Place
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2.38Northwestern University1.270.2%1st Place
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2.89Northwestern University0.770.1%1st Place
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3.61University of Minnesota0.080.1%1st Place
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4.5Northwestern University-0.880.0%1st Place
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5.96University of Minnesota-4.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Kent | 53.2% | 30.6% | 12.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Bruce | 24.2% | 33.2% | 26.4% | 12.6% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Ben Breuner | 14.6% | 20.8% | 31.6% | 27.4% | 5.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Valverde | 6.3% | 10.6% | 21.5% | 39.7% | 21.6% | 0.3% |
| Jennie Werner | 1.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 16.9% | 67.2% | 2.2% |
| Alec Englander | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 97.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.