Race 1A

perry-women-east-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Clerc Cooper 13.5% 12.4% 13.0% 12.2% 10.2% 8.4% 8.1% 7.6% 5.1% 3.9% 3.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Catherine Shanahan 6.5% 8.0% 7.9% 8.3% 8.8% 7.2% 9.3% 10.1% 9.6% 8.1% 8.2% 5.2% 2.5% 0.3%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 8.2% 11.3% 8.9% 10.8% 8.6% 9.9% 9.0% 9.2% 7.9% 6.8% 5.9% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3%
Nancy Hagood 7.3% 8.8% 7.6% 10.4% 9.6% 10.3% 9.8% 7.5% 9.4% 7.3% 6.4% 3.5% 1.8% 0.3%
Rachel Bryer 12.9% 13.4% 15.3% 12.4% 8.9% 11.5% 7.1% 6.9% 5.3% 2.7% 2.1% 1.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Dominique Wright 5.9% 5.1% 5.9% 5.8% 8.8% 7.3% 9.4% 9.0% 9.3% 8.9% 10.8% 8.2% 4.5% 1.1%
Liana Folger 4.5% 4.8% 5.4% 5.1% 6.3% 5.4% 6.0% 8.2% 10.1% 11.2% 10.6% 12.7% 7.6% 2.1%
Nikole Barnes 13.0% 13.4% 10.3% 10.2% 10.4% 9.7% 8.4% 7.1% 7.3% 5.8% 2.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Simone Staff 3.8% 2.8% 3.2% 3.2% 4.6% 4.6% 5.4% 6.8% 8.6% 12.1% 13.6% 14.8% 11.9% 4.6%
Emily Oltrogge 2.3% 1.9% 2.4% 1.9% 3.3% 4.7% 6.0% 5.4% 6.0% 10.3% 12.1% 14.1% 21.0% 8.6%
Deirdre Lambert 15.9% 10.4% 13.8% 11.9% 10.2% 9.3% 9.2% 6.8% 4.9% 3.4% 2.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Hannah McNomee 4.1% 5.2% 4.2% 5.1% 6.9% 8.1% 7.3% 9.5% 11.0% 10.2% 9.0% 9.4% 8.0% 2.0%
Louise Currie 1.8% 1.9% 1.4% 2.2% 2.6% 2.8% 3.8% 3.7% 4.5% 6.5% 10.2% 16.5% 26.1% 16.0%
Eliza Pearce 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 2.2% 1.0% 2.8% 3.1% 7.5% 14.1% 64.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.