Race 3A

perry-women-east-semis

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nikole Barnes 11.6% 12.9% 14.6% 10.4% 10.9% 9.7% 8.0% 5.5% 7.0% 4.4% 2.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Deirdre Lambert 15.8% 12.9% 14.8% 11.3% 12.1% 9.8% 8.0% 6.0% 3.6% 3.4% 1.2% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Rachel Bryer 15.4% 14.5% 12.2% 11.0% 11.1% 9.7% 7.8% 7.8% 4.7% 3.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Catherine Shanahan 5.5% 7.5% 8.0% 7.3% 7.1% 9.6% 8.5% 10.4% 8.0% 10.0% 9.2% 5.2% 2.9% 0.8%
Emily Oltrogge 2.4% 1.9% 3.0% 3.3% 3.3% 4.4% 5.2% 6.4% 7.3% 8.1% 11.8% 16.8% 17.7% 8.4%
India Johnstone 3.7% 2.7% 3.8% 4.9% 3.6% 5.4% 6.6% 8.8% 8.6% 11.8% 12.7% 11.4% 11.7% 4.3%
Clerc Cooper 13.8% 14.0% 12.0% 12.8% 10.2% 7.9% 9.8% 8.1% 5.0% 2.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 9.3% 10.3% 9.7% 9.5% 10.0% 10.2% 9.2% 8.5% 7.3% 6.7% 4.6% 3.2% 1.3% 0.2%
Liana Folger 4.8% 3.3% 3.7% 4.7% 5.9% 5.4% 7.5% 8.3% 11.7% 10.6% 11.7% 10.7% 8.8% 2.9%
Nancy Hagood 7.3% 8.5% 7.7% 9.7% 9.9% 10.5% 8.7% 10.4% 9.0% 8.4% 4.8% 2.9% 1.9% 0.3%
Dominique Wright 5.5% 5.6% 5.3% 8.3% 7.2% 9.6% 9.5% 7.3% 9.6% 10.1% 9.6% 7.4% 4.5% 0.5%
Louise Currie 1.4% 1.4% 1.7% 2.0% 2.7% 2.8% 3.5% 3.7% 5.6% 6.7% 11.9% 17.2% 24.7% 14.7%
Simone Staff 3.2% 3.8% 3.1% 4.3% 4.5% 4.4% 6.8% 7.0% 10.4% 11.2% 11.7% 13.8% 11.6% 4.2%
Eliza Pearce 0.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.9% 1.8% 2.2% 2.2% 4.8% 7.4% 13.3% 63.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.