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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+2.92vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.91+11.55vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.50+0.75vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+4.47vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.62+7.46vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara-0.49+5.52vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+1.84vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.88+6.04vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-1.36+8.03vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.99+4.19vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.45+0.27vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.84+1.20vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.47+3.95vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-1.24+2.30vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86-1.77vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.85+2.74vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego0.42-9.73vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.25-1.78vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-1.98+0.56vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-2.15+0.62vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.60-2.87vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-2.46-0.15vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-1.09-8.19vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.78-5.29vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles-1.98-5.53vs Predicted
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26University of Southern California-0.12-16.49vs Predicted
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27San Diego State University-0.91-12.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92University of California at Santa Cruz1.4520.2%1st Place
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13.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.912.2%1st Place
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3.75University of California at Santa Barbara1.5021.6%1st Place
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8.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.836.0%1st Place
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12.46Arizona State University-0.622.5%1st Place
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11.52University of California at Santa Barbara-0.492.9%1st Place
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8.84University of California at Santa Cruz0.245.5%1st Place
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14.04University of California at Irvine-0.882.2%1st Place
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17.03University of California at Irvine-1.361.3%1st Place
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14.19University of California at Berkeley-0.992.4%1st Place
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11.27University of California at Los Angeles-0.454.0%1st Place
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13.2University of California at Berkeley-0.842.3%1st Place
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16.95University of California at San Diego-1.471.1%1st Place
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16.3San Diego State University-1.241.4%1st Place
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13.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.863.0%1st Place
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18.74University of California at Los Angeles-1.851.2%1st Place
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7.27University of California at San Diego0.427.5%1st Place
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16.22University of California at San Diego-1.251.4%1st Place
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19.56California State University Channel Islands-1.980.7%1st Place
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20.62University of California at Davis-2.150.8%1st Place
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18.13Arizona State University-1.600.9%1st Place
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21.85University of California at Davis-2.460.5%1st Place
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14.81Arizona State University-1.091.8%1st Place
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18.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.780.6%1st Place
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19.47University of California at Los Angeles-1.980.7%1st Place
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9.51University of Southern California-0.123.5%1st Place
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14.38San Diego State University-0.911.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 20.2% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Wiley | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Julian Skerrett | 21.6% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hirz | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Holguin | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Phineas Fritsch | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bianca Weber | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Nate Powers | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Noa Brassfield | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Luke Graham | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adem Evecek | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 16.0% |
| Erin Welker | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% |
| Tristan Meyer | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 26.2% |
| Camden Wacha | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Pike Williams | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% |
| Kevin Lu | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% |
| Lara Granucci | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Alcala | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.