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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.05vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.28+3.97vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+1.62vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+0.59vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.90+2.38vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38-0.03vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.71-2.30vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-1.14vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+0.15vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota2.01-0.06vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.38-2.16vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon0.46+0.90vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.59-2.19vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-5.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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5.97Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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4.62Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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4.59University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.38University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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5.97Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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4.7College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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6.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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9.15University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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9.94University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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8.84George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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12.9University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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10.81University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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8.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 11.5% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 15.4% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.7% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Clerc Cooper | 14.9% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Simone Staff | 3.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 4.4% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 9.0% |
| India Johnstone | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 2.8% |
| Eliza Pearce | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 17.8% | 62.7% |
| Louise Currie | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 24.0% | 17.5% |
| Liana Folger | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.