Race 5A

perry-women-east-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Rachel Bryer 14.9% 16.8% 13.8% 11.3% 9.5% 8.7% 7.7% 5.4% 4.9% 4.1% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Clerc Cooper 14.8% 12.2% 13.6% 11.2% 10.4% 10.9% 9.6% 6.5% 3.9% 3.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Nikole Barnes 12.5% 12.8% 11.0% 11.2% 11.5% 9.2% 8.2% 7.7% 6.4% 4.9% 2.5% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Nancy Hagood 6.6% 9.4% 9.5% 9.5% 8.2% 11.0% 10.2% 8.6% 8.4% 6.4% 6.6% 3.7% 1.8% 0.1%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 8.1% 8.4% 9.2% 11.4% 10.5% 8.8% 10.7% 7.9% 8.7% 7.2% 4.8% 2.7% 1.1% 0.5%
India Johnstone 3.5% 3.5% 2.9% 5.0% 4.4% 4.1% 7.2% 9.0% 9.5% 11.3% 9.9% 13.7% 11.2% 4.8%
Liana Folger 4.3% 5.2% 4.9% 5.6% 6.7% 4.8% 6.7% 8.6% 10.8% 9.3% 12.7% 11.4% 6.9% 2.1%
Deirdre Lambert 15.1% 14.0% 13.7% 10.6% 11.7% 9.4% 6.4% 6.9% 5.6% 3.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Dominique Wright 6.6% 4.0% 7.0% 6.3% 6.6% 8.5% 9.1% 11.0% 10.8% 9.7% 9.0% 6.4% 3.8% 1.2%
Catherine Shanahan 6.0% 5.6% 7.0% 8.8% 8.6% 10.4% 7.5% 10.7% 9.0% 9.3% 7.4% 5.5% 3.6% 0.6%
Simone Staff 3.2% 3.4% 2.6% 3.3% 5.8% 5.5% 7.1% 7.0% 7.3% 11.1% 12.9% 13.4% 12.5% 4.9%
Emily Oltrogge 2.0% 2.1% 2.8% 3.0% 3.3% 4.5% 4.8% 6.3% 7.3% 10.2% 12.6% 15.8% 17.1% 8.2%
Louise Currie 2.1% 1.8% 1.6% 1.9% 2.2% 3.4% 3.2% 3.5% 5.2% 7.7% 10.9% 16.4% 24.7% 15.4%
Eliza Pearce 0.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.9% 0.6% 0.8% 1.6% 0.9% 2.2% 2.2% 4.8% 6.9% 15.4% 62.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.