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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.06vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.71+2.80vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.90+4.26vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.28+2.17vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+4.09vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.83-1.29vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-2.59vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-1.12vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota2.01+0.83vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.59+0.96vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-2.51vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.38-6.13vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.38-4.32vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon0.46-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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4.8College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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7.26University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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6.17Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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9.09University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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4.71Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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6.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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9.83University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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10.96University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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8.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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5.87Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.68George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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12.81University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Clerc Cooper | 14.1% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dominique Wright | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Simone Staff | 2.8% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 4.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 13.9% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 16.0% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 6.8% |
| Louise Currie | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 25.3% | 17.7% |
| Liana Folger | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 2.9% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| India Johnstone | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 3.2% |
| Eliza Pearce | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 15.0% | 63.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.