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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.71+3.91vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+2.45vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+3.93vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.28+2.16vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+3.51vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.82vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+1.80vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.38+0.71vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.38-3.07vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.90-2.66vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota2.01-1.09vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.84-7.39vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.59-2.25vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon0.46-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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4.45Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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6.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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6.16Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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8.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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5.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.8University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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8.71George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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5.93Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.34University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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9.91University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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4.61University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.75University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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12.82University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clerc Cooper | 13.3% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 15.8% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Liana Folger | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 2.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 12.0% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 3.9% |
| India Johnstone | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 4.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 8.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.3% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 26.4% | 14.6% |
| Eliza Pearce | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 64.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.