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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+3.59vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+2.46vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.71+1.87vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+2.96vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.38+3.83vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.90+1.40vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.28-1.08vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+0.31vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-3.85vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-0.80vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.38-5.06vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon0.46+0.88vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota2.01-3.26vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.59-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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4.46University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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4.87College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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6.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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8.83George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.4University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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5.92Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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8.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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5.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.2University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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5.94Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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12.88University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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9.74University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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10.76University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 14.2% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.9% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 13.5% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| India Johnstone | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 3.8% |
| Dominique Wright | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 0.4% |
| Nancy Hagood | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Liana Folger | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 3.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 11.9% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 5.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 7.1% | 14.3% | 64.5% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 8.0% |
| Louise Currie | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 27.7% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.