Race 9A

perry-women-east-semis

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Deirdre Lambert 16.6% 15.4% 14.3% 12.0% 11.1% 8.4% 6.3% 5.8% 3.9% 2.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Clerc Cooper 14.4% 13.6% 16.0% 9.8% 10.6% 10.6% 8.5% 7.0% 3.8% 2.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Nancy Hagood 9.5% 9.5% 9.7% 9.3% 10.2% 8.2% 10.2% 9.1% 7.8% 7.5% 4.9% 2.8% 0.9% 0.4%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 8.7% 11.3% 10.1% 11.6% 8.9% 10.1% 10.3% 7.9% 7.8% 6.2% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2%
Liana Folger 3.4% 4.7% 4.6% 5.7% 6.5% 6.9% 7.9% 7.9% 8.9% 9.7% 12.6% 9.4% 8.5% 3.3%
Dominique Wright 5.8% 5.4% 6.8% 7.3% 8.5% 9.6% 8.9% 9.9% 9.2% 8.7% 8.2% 6.3% 4.5% 0.9%
Rachel Bryer 17.4% 17.0% 11.9% 14.0% 10.3% 9.2% 7.7% 4.7% 4.0% 1.8% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
India Johnstone 4.7% 3.1% 5.3% 5.3% 5.1% 5.8% 7.8% 7.7% 9.5% 10.0% 10.3% 11.2% 10.3% 3.9%
Simone Staff 3.7% 3.4% 3.6% 3.5% 5.4% 4.9% 5.1% 9.1% 9.8% 12.4% 10.8% 12.4% 11.7% 4.2%
Kayla Ellis 4.1% 5.1% 4.6% 5.1% 7.5% 7.9% 7.3% 9.2% 9.2% 11.1% 10.1% 10.0% 7.0% 1.8%
Catherine Shanahan 7.0% 6.9% 7.6% 9.5% 8.1% 9.0% 9.4% 8.8% 10.3% 8.0% 6.0% 6.0% 2.7% 0.7%
Louise Currie 1.3% 1.6% 1.8% 2.6% 2.6% 3.2% 2.9% 4.9% 6.3% 7.7% 10.2% 15.5% 23.7% 15.7%
Eliza Pearce 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 1.4% 0.8% 1.2% 1.5% 2.5% 3.3% 4.1% 6.4% 13.4% 62.9%
Emily Oltrogge 2.6% 2.3% 3.1% 3.9% 3.8% 5.4% 6.5% 6.5% 7.0% 8.3% 13.4% 15.6% 15.6% 6.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.