Race 11A

perry-women-east-semis

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 10.1% 11.6% 12.0% 10.6% 10.2% 11.3% 8.8% 6.5% 7.5% 4.6% 3.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Catherine Shanahan 7.4% 8.9% 10.2% 7.8% 9.5% 8.8% 9.8% 9.9% 8.1% 8.1% 5.5% 3.8% 1.8% 0.4%
Rachel Bryer 16.5% 15.7% 14.8% 12.6% 10.8% 9.6% 7.1% 6.1% 3.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Deirdre Lambert 16.4% 15.7% 13.8% 12.0% 11.3% 9.4% 7.8% 5.3% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Liana Folger 3.4% 3.7% 5.4% 6.5% 6.5% 7.7% 8.3% 8.8% 9.6% 9.1% 12.5% 9.3% 6.7% 2.5%
India Johnstone 3.5% 3.8% 4.2% 4.7% 5.3% 5.8% 8.8% 8.5% 9.7% 12.1% 10.1% 9.4% 10.5% 3.6%
Clerc Cooper 17.0% 15.1% 11.6% 13.1% 10.7% 9.1% 8.0% 7.4% 4.3% 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.0% 0.1%
Emily Oltrogge 2.9% 3.5% 3.6% 3.7% 4.1% 5.0% 5.9% 5.8% 9.0% 9.2% 12.2% 12.8% 14.8% 7.5%
Charlie Bess 3.4% 2.7% 3.5% 2.9% 4.2% 4.4% 5.3% 7.5% 9.3% 11.7% 10.8% 15.3% 14.0% 5.0%
Kayla Ellis 4.3% 4.2% 4.8% 6.5% 7.9% 8.3% 7.3% 9.7% 10.0% 11.8% 10.1% 8.2% 5.0% 1.9%
Simone Staff 3.0% 3.8% 3.7% 4.8% 4.8% 6.5% 8.2% 7.1% 8.9% 11.3% 11.7% 12.0% 9.9% 4.3%
Louise Currie 1.5% 1.2% 2.3% 3.3% 2.4% 2.9% 4.0% 5.5% 6.6% 8.5% 12.3% 14.8% 20.7% 14.0%
Nancy Hagood 10.1% 9.5% 9.6% 10.9% 11.4% 9.7% 9.1% 9.8% 7.0% 5.2% 3.3% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
Eliza Pearce 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 1.5% 1.6% 2.1% 1.8% 3.2% 4.6% 7.8% 14.3% 60.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.